Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 2.060340 2.383628 2.738874 3.157911 3.638407 4.171886 4.808872
2025-03-09 1.606957 2.028953 2.532206 3.175504 3.974925 4.934640 6.173301
2025-03-16 1.253338 1.709087 2.293034 3.093734 4.160669 5.530864 7.421527
2025-03-23 1.089481 1.590326 2.273974 3.270935 4.682864 6.605503 9.416408
2025-03-30 0.943510 1.465120 2.219102 3.381453 5.120212 7.615186 11.455703
2025-04-06 0.803875 1.321628 2.110567 3.390409 5.403059 8.431957 13.317360
2025-04-13 0.654140 1.135097 1.905333 3.216151 5.376279 8.774834 14.499930
2025-04-20 0.588168 1.071583 1.881211 3.319625 5.791377 9.837377 16.921675
2025-04-27 0.544020 1.036993 1.897573 3.488445 6.329568 11.152335 19.900709
2025-05-04 0.492137 0.979593 1.864912 3.564629 6.713301 12.245344 22.621433
2025-05-11 0.442515 0.918066 1.815034 3.600299 7.024419 13.239792 25.271710
2025-05-18 0.385247 0.832350 1.707407 3.511369 7.090330 13.795548 27.178884
2025-05-25 0.326038 0.734844 1.566285 3.343974 6.996333 14.066053 28.628375
2025-06-01 0.293602 0.688500 1.521053 3.362750 7.271855 15.071381 31.612829
2025-06-08 0.256249 0.625199 1.431453 3.276439 7.321187 15.637251 33.790505
2025-06-15 0.245411 0.620497 1.466989 3.463769 7.969643 17.485139 38.797164
2025-06-22 0.230101 0.602692 1.470739 3.580595 8.478921 19.098619 43.490141
2025-06-29 0.209233 0.567797 1.430217 3.590081 8.748719 20.229131 47.265483
2025-07-06 0.179397 0.505066 1.314661 3.405943 8.549012 20.307043 48.718148
2025-07-13 0.169334 0.492500 1.319637 3.515301 9.055746 22.025014 54.076638
2025-07-20 0.163485 0.490406 1.350599 3.693697 9.751515 24.251121 60.852431
2025-07-27 0.153346 0.474614 1.343884 3.774198 10.213130 25.973908 66.614804
2025-08-03 0.142274 0.454253 1.322114 3.811889 10.569816 27.480858 72.012044